Rivian Shares Jump 15% as Automaker Forecasts 59% Delivery Increase for 2026

Key Facts
- Rivian shares increased by more than 15% in after-hours trading on Thursday.
- 2026 delivery guidance is set between 62,000 and 67,000 units.
- Automotive revenue fell 45% to $839 million in the fourth quarter of 2025.
- The company achieved its first annual gross profit of $144 million in 2025.
- The R2 SUV is scheduled to launch by June 2026 with an expected price of $45,000.
- A joint venture with Volkswagen Group is expected to provide $2 billion in capital during 2026.
- Total liquidity at the end of the fourth quarter stood at $6.59 billion.
Rivian Automotive shares rose more than 15% in after-hours trading Thursday after the company projected vehicle deliveries would increase by up to 59% in 2026. The automaker reported its first annual gross profit of $144 million for 2025, a result driven by a software joint venture with Volkswagen that offset losses in its core automotive business. The company expects to deliver between 62,000 and 67,000 units in the coming year, up from 42,247 vehicles delivered in 2025.
While total annual revenue grew 8% to $5.38 billion, automotive revenue specifically fell 45% to $839 million in the fourth quarter. The company attributed the decline to lower vehicle deliveries and a $134 million drop in regulatory credit sales following changes to federal emissions standards. Net losses for 2025 totaled $3.6 billion, an improvement from the $4.75 billion loss reported in 2024.
CEO RJ Scaringe identified 2026 as an "inflection point" centered on the June launch of the R2 SUV, a midsize vehicle priced near $45,000. Rivian expects the R2 to reduce production complexity and material costs by half compared to its current R1 models. The company anticipates adjusted pre-tax losses between $1.8 billion and $2.1 billion for 2026 as it ramps up production at its facility in Normal, Illinois.
Historical Context
Rivian’s financial stability has relied heavily on a $5.8 billion technology joint venture with Volkswagen Group formed in 2024. Under the agreement, Rivian provides electrical architecture and software in exchange for capital, including a $1 billion payout in 2025 and an expected $2 billion in 2026. This partnership has buffered the company against slowing demand for its higher-priced R1 pickup and SUV models, which start in the $70,000 range.
Perspective Analysis
Sources: TechCrunch · CNBC · Wall Street Journal | Aggregators: Economic Monitor
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